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Tuesday, October 28, 2008
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Korean Won Recovers from Record Low
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Dollar Strengthens after Stimulus Proposal
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Forex Trading News: UBS Consumption Indicator Released
The UBSConsumption Indicator came out at 1.67 just above the previous 1.62. There was no forecast for this release.
The CHF did not move much after this release.
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Forex Trading News: Gfk German Consumer Climate Released
The Gfk German Consumer Climate came out better than expected at 1.9 from the previous 1.8. A decline to 1.5 was forecast for this release.
The EUR was very bid across the board upon this release as it appears that traders have some "risk appetite" back. Despite this positive reading, the EUR did soften up after this data.
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Forex Trading News: The WSJ Comments on the CHF
- The rising Franc is starting to impact some of Switzerland's exporters.
- For instance Bobst Group AG issued a profit warning and lowered its sales forecast on Monday.
- According to Bank Sarasin's economist, the franc's relative weakness against the Euro of recent years is most likely over and this is notable because close to 62% of Swiss goods go to the EU.
- In Sept, Swiss exports fell for the first time since Jan 2005.
- Moodys expects the decline in Swiss exports to hurt economic growth and the firm forecasts Swiss GDP growth of about 1.4% in 2008 v 3.3% y/y.
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Forex Trading: Yen Crosses Holding Below the 23.6% Retracement for Another Session
Reviewing yesterday's Yen retracement analysis, we see the 23.6% retracement levels have continued to hold as resistance on CAD/JPY pair, the CHF/JPYpair and the EUR/JPY pair. A technical move either through the lows or north above the 23.6% can provide some volatile short-term price action, as currencies around the world are searching for an equilibrium among this unprecedented volatility. Please see yesterday's blog (link provided above) for the details associated with this analysis.



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Forex News: New Home Sales improve on the month
The New Home Sales came in at 464K vs expectation of 450k. The prior month was lowered to 452k from 460k. The month supply of homes came in at 10.4 months from a higher 11.4 months last month.
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Forex News: The US Treasury Commericial Paper purchase program to begin today.
Bill Gross of PIMCO is on CNBC talking on the Feds Commercial Paper Funding Facility. The rate that the Fed will paytoday is 2.88% for the top rate Corporate Commercial Paper. This rate is significantly lower than the3 Month LIBOR rate which came in at 3.5%. This should help to loosen the LIBOR rate as corporations will simply borrow through the US Treasury going forward.
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